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| Delhi, which had a population of just under 10 million in 1990, will be home to more than 36 million by 2030, according to projections. |
The merits of the city have been debated as far back as Aesop — so, since about 600 B.C., or slightly before parking spots in central London were sold for the cost of a maybe-renovated Toronto semi.
Town Mouse, Aesop tells us, visited his rural cousin, but was put off by the slim pickings for dinner and so suggested a trip back to the city. Country Mouse agreed, and was thrilled by the delicacies on offer there — until their meal was scarily interrupted not once, but twice. Country Mouse had enough and scurried home, because “better a little in safety, than an abundance surrounded by danger.”
That was then. Now, it’s probably fair to say that Country Mouse would agree the risk was worth the reward. He would stay in town, hope for a decent job, appreciate that his offspring could probably go to school, and forget he had ever once called the hedgerow home.
By 2050, the United Nations 2014 World Urbanization Prospects report projects that 66 per cent of the globe will be living in cities. Today, just over half of us live in cities; in 1950, only 30 per cent of the world’s population was urban.
“Everywhere, it’s the big cities that are most attractive to everybody,” says Andre Sorensen, chair of the University of Toronto’s human geography department. “It’s the big main cities that are the attractors for population, because that’s where the opportunities are.”
“A city,” agrees Somik Lall, the World Bank’s lead urban economist, “offers an economic structure that gets you out of doing labour on the farm, provides you higher wages. You can send your kids to school, if you have girls they can have better access to education — you know, cities are pretty good.”
The term urbanization often conjures images of slums and substandard living conditions, and that is the reality for many people in the developing world. The book Planet of Slums noted that “the five great metropolises of South Asia — Karachi, Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata and Dhaka — alone contain about 15,000 distinct slum communities with a total population of more than 20 million.”